Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 877.875486 995.375311 1127.199346 1286.905472 1476.291535 1695.114335 1969.126830
2025-04-13 676.172536 822.077504 1001.193847 1240.492140 1556.808797 1967.884034 2554.872104
2025-04-20 599.215490 762.770847 976.037887 1280.947434 1716.717147 2335.136526 3314.154553
2025-04-27 536.454609 707.341475 940.837973 1293.156997 1829.854663 2650.208929 4071.904458
2025-05-04 491.795928 668.076183 918.776626 1315.287144 1954.753607 3001.212192 4977.908039
2025-05-11 454.389836 633.231202 896.528312 1330.579483 2067.405681 3351.455283 5984.487052
2025-05-18 431.574395 616.355445 897.656532 1380.675420 2243.884469 3848.624128 7439.284331
2025-05-25 405.613319 591.403976 882.422334 1400.053984 2367.986180 4275.440796 8905.204207
2025-06-01 378.727122 562.034262 856.269531 1395.900197 2446.155081 4627.596981 10338.666369
2025-06-08 354.634166 534.721350 830.269933 1387.759402 2513.954572 4972.903236 11904.922405
2025-06-15 339.551367 520.650356 824.939098 1416.503933 2661.057451 5533.585183 14348.780832
2025-06-22 314.840719 488.335060 784.599921 1372.760380 2645.997371 5703.935814 15693.767077
2025-06-29 291.866288 458.056414 746.610276 1332.050865 2637.941114 5910.031794 17355.624344
2025-07-06 269.959056 428.156670 706.969905 1283.894737 2606.575762 6053.897070 18925.075930
2025-07-13 262.188385 422.355581 710.982411 1326.124983 2796.494854 6869.989396 23753.404262
2025-07-20 251.405731 410.241247 701.813626 1338.884319 2916.898348 7527.855524 28537.476227
2025-07-27 242.727063 401.234322 697.680990 1362.009574 3069.159584 8345.418212 35011.867739
2025-08-03 233.951828 391.350125 690.833772 1377.992388 3206.209564 9170.933550 42621.640201
2025-08-10 229.474881 389.167180 699.151000 1430.365122 3457.880099 10523.356772 55759.428903
2025-08-17 222.156382 380.981369 694.354708 1450.630472 3621.395265 11624.923474 69338.457076
2025-08-24 213.150670 368.890797 680.328248 1446.286322 3709.528749 12466.458013 82686.893738
2025-08-31 204.448512 356.832800 665.379511 1437.772888 3783.446427 13290.515155 98080.146084
2025-09-07 199.485534 351.882305 665.335155 1467.835800 3992.284544 14865.800470 127104.681260